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Several research studies have investigated the degradation of BaTiO3-based dielectric capacitor materials, focusing on the impact of composition, defect chemistry, and microstructural design to limit the electromigration of oxygen vacancies under electric fields at finite temperatures. Electromigration can be a dominant mechanism that controls failure rates in the individual multilayer ceramic capacitor (MLCC) components in testing the reliability of failures with highly accelerated lifetime testing (HALT) to determine the mean time to failure of MLCCs surface mounted onto printed circuit boards (PCBs). Conventional assumptions often consider these failures as independent, with no interaction between components on the PCB. However, this study employs a Physics of Failure (PoF) approach to closely examine transient degradation and its impact on MLCC reliability, emphasizing thermal crosstalk and its influence on dependent and independent failure rates. Finite element analysis thermal modeling and infrared thermography were used to assess the impact of circuit layout and component spacing on heat dissipation and thermal crosstalk under various electrical stress conditions. The study distinguishes between dependent and independent failures under a HALT, quantified through a β′ factor reflecting common cause failures due to thermal crosstalk. Through a series of experimental and statistical analyses, the β′ factor is evaluated with respect to temperature, voltage, and component spacing. These insights highlight the importance of understanding the nature of the data in reliability testing of MLCCs and optimizing the layout design of high-density circuits to mitigate dependent failures, improving overall reliability and informing better design and packaging strategies. 

Base metal electrode (BME) multilayer ceramic capacitors (MLCCs) are widely used in aerospace, medical, military, and communication applications, emphasizing the need for high reliability. The ongoing advancements in BaTiO3-based MLCC technology have facilitated further miniaturization and improved capacitive volumetric density for both low and high voltage devices. However, concerns persist regarding infant mortality failures and long-term reliability under higher fields and temperatures. To address these concerns, a comprehensive understanding of the mechanisms underlying insulation resistance degradation is crucial. Furthermore, there is a need to develop effective screening procedures during MLCC production and improve the accuracy of mean time to failure (MTTF) predictions. This article reviews our findings on the effect of the burn-in test, a common quality control process, on the dynamics of oxygen vacancies within BME MLCCs. These findings reveal the burn-in test has a negative impact on the lifetime and reliability of BME MLCCS. Moreover, the limitations of existing lifetime prediction models for BME MLCCs are discussed, emphasizing the need for improved MTTF predictions by employing a physics-based machine learning model to overcome the existing models’ limitations. The article also discusses the new physical-based machine learning model that has been developed. While data limitations remain a challenge, the physics-based machine learning approach offers promising results for MTTF prediction in MLCCs, contributing to improved lifetime predictions. Furthermore, the article acknowledges the limitations of relying solely on MTTF to predict MLCCs’ lifetime and emphasizes the importance of developing comprehensive prediction models that predict the entire distribution of failures. 

Multilayer ceramic capacitors (MLCC) play a vital role in electronic systems, and their reliability is of critical importance. The ongoing advancement in MLCC manufacturing has improved capacitive volumetric density for both low and high voltage devices; however, concerns about long-term stability under higher fields and temperatures are always a concern, which impact their reliability and lifespan. Consequently, predicting the mean time to failure (MTTF) for MLCCs remains a challenge due to the limitations of existing models. In this study, we develop a physics-based machine learning approach using the eXtreme Gradient Boosting method to predict the MTTF of X7R MLCCs under various temperature and voltage conditions. We employ a transfer learning framework to improve prediction accuracy for test conditions with limited data and to provide predictions for test conditions where no experimental data exists. We compare our model with the conventional Eyring model (EM) and, more recently, the tipping point model (TPM) in terms of accuracy and performance. Our results show that the machine learning model consistently outperforms both the EM and TPM, demonstrating superior accuracy and stability across different conditions. Our model also exhibits a reliable performance for untested voltage and temperature conditions, making it a promising approach for predicting MTTF in MLCCs. 

The continued development of BaTiO3-based multilayer ceramic capacitors has contributed to further miniaturization by reducing the thickness of each dielectric layer for different voltage range components. MLCC designs that achieve higher volumetric capacitive efficiency must be balanced with stable properties over long operational times at higher fields and temperatures, raising concerns about their reliability. To improve the reliability and slow transient mechanisms of oxygen vacancy electromigration that drive the degradation of insulation resistance of MLCCs, we need to develop new models and improved metrologies to enhance the performance of MLCCs. This paper demonstrates how electrical characterization techniques, such as thermally stimulated depolarization current and highly accelerated life test, can be used to better understand MLCCs' degradation and assess their reliability. Also, the limitations of existing lifetime prediction models and their shortcomings of using mean time to failure in predicting the lifetime of MLCCs are discussed along with future perspectives on evaluating the reliability of MLCCs.